After earning their first league success of the term on the weekend, Vitoria should be relatively confident of repeating the trick on Thursday.
That being said, the challenge of Atletico Mineiro is set to be a stern one, and even without a number of key stars, the visitors should have enough to secure three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 22.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Vitoria win it was 1-0 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
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