SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 69.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 12.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Vizela win it was 2-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Benfica |
12.85% ( -0.07) | 17.19% ( -0.03) | 69.95% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.64% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.33% ( -0.06) | 34.67% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.38% ( -0.07) | 56.62% ( 0.07) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.06% ( -0.15) | 38.93% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.34% ( -0.14) | 75.66% ( 0.15) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.11% ( 0.01) | 8.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.61% ( 0.02) | 30.39% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.26% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 12.85% | 1-1 @ 7.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.19% | 0-2 @ 10.13% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0)0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 8.18% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 7.72% 0-4 @ 4.95% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.67% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 2.26% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.07% ( -0)0-6 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.92% Total : 69.94% |
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