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Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Do Vizela
EA

Vizela
2 - 1
Estrela Amadora

Wilson (80')
Mendez (45+3'), Samu (85'), Unzueta (91'), Pereira (114'), Pereira (114')
FT
(aet)
Kikas (19')
Jaba (31'), Omorwa (73')
Jaba (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Famalicao
Saturday, November 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Moreirense
Saturday, November 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We say: Vizela 1-0 Estrela Amadora

Neither team is thriving when in front of goal, and with that in mind this is expected to be a low-scoring game that will no doubt be tense. With little to split them in the league, this Taca de Portugal encounter is set to be a close one, but the hosts could just push this one due to the atmosphere alone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%).

Result
VizelaDrawEstrela Amadora
49.55% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 24.11% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.33% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.93% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.1% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)45.9% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.79% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)68.21% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.0040000000000049 0)18.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)49.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.7% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)31.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.34% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)67.66% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 49.55%
    Estrela Amadora 26.33%
    Draw 24.11%
VizelaDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 9.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 49.55%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.11%
0-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 26.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Famalicao
Saturday, November 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Vizela
Sunday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-2 Porto
Sunday, October 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Atletico CP 0-1 Vizela
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Farense 0-0 Vizela
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-3 Portimonense
Saturday, September 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Moreirense
Saturday, November 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, November 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, October 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vila Mea 0-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, October 21 at 3.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-4 Braga
Thursday, September 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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