SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Porto |
19.48% ( 0.07) | 23.31% ( 0.22) | 57.21% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 49.93% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.31% ( -0.82) | 49.69% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.3% ( -0.74) | 71.7% ( 0.75) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% ( -0.4) | 39.75% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.58% ( -0.38) | 76.42% ( 0.38) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% ( -0.39) | 17.14% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.64% ( -0.7) | 47.36% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.48% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 10.59% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.77% Total : 57.2% |
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