Should Vizela fail to claim victory here and Portimonense and Estrela win their games, their three-year stint in the top flight will come to an end. That said, we expect the Vizelenses to throw the kitchen sink in search of a vital win.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.26) 
