Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Arouca |
37.65% (![]() | 26.31% (![]() | 36.04% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.49% (![]() | 51.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.69% (![]() | 73.31% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.39% (![]() | 26.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.17% (![]() | 61.83% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.46% (![]() | 27.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.95% (![]() | 63.05% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 9.7% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.28% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.65% | 1-1 @ 12.51% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.33% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.34% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.45% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.07% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.09% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.04% |
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