SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 3-0 (10.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Vizela |
76.06% ( 0.24) | 15.59% ( -0.1) | 8.34% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 44.01% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.15% ( 0) | 40.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.76% ( 0) | 63.24% ( -0) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.97% ( 0.06) | 9.03% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.26% ( 0.14) | 30.74% ( -0.14) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.38% ( -0.32) | 51.61% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.25% ( -0.21) | 85.75% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Vizela |
| 2-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 4.3% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.51% Total : 76.05% | 1-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.58% Total : 15.59% | 0-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 8.34% |
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