SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Casa Pia |
46.51% ( -0.26) | 25.45% ( 0.12) | 28.03% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.56% ( -0.4) | 50.44% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.63% ( -0.35) | 72.37% ( 0.35) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% ( -0.28) | 21.68% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.17% ( -0.43) | 54.83% ( 0.43) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.62% ( -0.1) | 32.38% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.11% ( -0.11) | 68.89% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.51% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.03% |
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