SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
18.84% ( 0.17) | 22.58% ( 0.2) | 58.58% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 51.11% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.43% ( -0.61) | 47.57% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% ( -0.56) | 69.77% ( 0.57) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.78% ( -0.17) | 39.22% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.07% ( -0.16) | 75.93% ( 0.16) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.09% ( -0.33) | 15.92% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.84% ( -0.61) | 45.17% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.57% 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.23% Total : 18.84% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.58% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 10.54% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.46% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 2.97% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.21% Total : 58.57% |
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