SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
23.08% ( 0.09) | 24.87% ( 0.1) | 52.04% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 50.18% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.13% ( -0.32) | 51.87% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.37% ( -0.28) | 73.62% ( 0.28) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.66% ( -0.1) | 37.34% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.88% ( -0.09) | 74.12% ( 0.1) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% ( -0.2) | 19.92% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.94% ( -0.33) | 52.05% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.68% Total : 23.08% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 9.68% ( 0)1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 52.03% |
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