SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kolos Kovalivka win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kolos Kovalivka in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
33.09% ( -0.56) | 28.89% ( 0.41) | 38.01% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 44.97% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.38% ( -1.48) | 61.62% ( 1.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.55% ( -1.11) | 81.45% ( 1.11) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% ( -1.17) | 34.54% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.74% ( -1.27) | 71.26% ( 1.26) |
| Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( -0.65) | 31.3% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.34% ( -0.76) | 67.66% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.25% Total : 33.09% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.59)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.89% | 0-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.99% Total : 38.01% |
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