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FA Cup | Second Round Replays
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
AT

Walsall
1 - 0
Alfreton

Matt (6')
Comley (29'), Knowles (36'), Matt (45+1'), Stirk (51'), Okagbue (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brisley (18'), Heath (19'), Newall (30'), Clackstone (75'), Willis (90+6')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Replays clash between Walsall and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Walsall
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Walsall
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 20.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Walsall in this match.

Result
WalsallDrawAlfreton Town
55.73% (0.0039999999999978 0) 23.4% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 20.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)48.3% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.55% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)70.45% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.83% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.58% (0.0010000000000048 0)47.42%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)37.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.73% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)74.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 55.72%
    Alfreton Town 20.87%
    Draw 23.4%
WalsallDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-0 @ 9.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 5.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.76%
3-2 @ 2.83%
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.54%
4-2 @ 1.25%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 55.72%
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 6.43%
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.4%
0-1 @ 6.31%
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.1%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 20.87%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Walsall
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Walsall
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Walsall
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-0 Forest Green
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Walsall
Tuesday, November 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Walsall 0-1 Harrogate
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Walsall
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Alfreton 0-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Chester
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 1-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-3 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 0-4 Alfreton
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North


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