SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Leicester City |
34.28% ( -0.01) | 23.27% ( -0.02) | 42.44% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.69% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.24% ( 0.1) | 37.76% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.99% ( 0.11) | 60% ( -0.11) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( 0.05) | 22.09% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.54% ( 0.07) | 55.45% ( -0.07) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% ( 0.05) | 18.24% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.71% ( 0.09) | 49.29% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 34.28% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.31% 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 42.44% |
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