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Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 28, 2021 at 2pm UK
King Power Stadium
WL

Leicester
4 - 2
Watford

Maddison (16'), Vardy (34', 42'), Lookman (68')
FT(HT: 3-1)
King (30' pen.), Dennis (61')

We said: Leicester City 1-1 Watford

These are the type of matches that Leicester will need to win if they are to be challengers for a European spot this term, but Watford will be full of confidence after their excellent result against Man United, and we are backing the Hornets to secure a share of the spoils at the King Power Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 23.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawWatford
52%24.39%23.61%
Both teams to score 52.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.57%49.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.53%71.46%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01%18.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.47%50.53%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.51%35.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74%72.25%
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 51.99%
    Watford 23.61%
    Draw 24.38%
Leicester CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 9.3%
3-1 @ 5.34%
3-0 @ 5.15%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-0 @ 2.14%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 51.99%
1-1 @ 11.59%
0-0 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.98%
1-2 @ 6.01%
0-2 @ 3.62%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.61%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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