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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
S

Werder Bremen
2 - 1
Stuttgart

Ducksch (28' pen., 49')
Bittencourt (51'), Zetterer (68'), Agu (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Undav (71')
Leweling (27'), Millot (34'), Stiller (53')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-0 Werder Bremen
Sunday, April 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-3 Stuttgart

Not only are Stuttgart in healthier form than Sunday's opponents, the Swabians have won five and drawn two of their recent eight Bundesliga fixtures against Bremen, losing 2-0 in February 2023 under Bruno Labbadia. It is hard to look beyond a routine away win in gameweek 30, taking the away side to 21 top-flight wins this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.97%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawStuttgart
23.99% (0.026 0.03) 22.04% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 53.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 60.58% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.37% (-0.133 -0.13)38.63% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.07% (-0.139 -0.14)60.93% (0.14 0.14)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)29.27% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (-0.064 -0.06)65.23% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)14.36% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.77% (-0.125 -0.13)42.23% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 23.99%
    Stuttgart 53.97%
    Draw 22.04%
Werder BremenDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 6.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.16% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.17% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 23.99%
1-1 @ 10.02% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.2% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.04%
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 53.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-0 Werder Bremen
Sunday, April 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Werder Bremen
Friday, April 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, March 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 0-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Heidenheim
Sunday, March 31 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 16 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Union Berlin
Friday, March 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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