Both sides have struggled to keep clean sheets this season but are comfortably averaging more than a goal per game at the other end, so we expect both teams to score on Sunday.
With the exception of Fullkrug in the visitors' attack, there is little to split the two sides in terms of individual quality, so we can envisage a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.9%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
0.55) 
-0.05) 
