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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
WB

Stuttgart
0 - 2
Werder Bremen


Anton (13'), Nartey (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stage (59'), Ducksch (77')
Schmidt (38'), Pieper (65'), Friedl (69'), Bittencourt (75'), Stage (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen

Both sides have struggled to keep clean sheets this season but are comfortably averaging more than a goal per game at the other end, so we expect both teams to score on Sunday. With the exception of Fullkrug in the visitors' attack, there is little to split the two sides in terms of individual quality, so we can envisage a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.9%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawWerder Bremen
53.9% (0.548 0.55) 22.75% (-0.055 -0.05) 23.34% (-0.494 -0.49)
Both teams to score 57.28% (-0.424 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.37% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)42.62% (0.27999999999999 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (-0.281 -0.28)65.03% (0.28 0.28)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.22% (0.087000000000003 0.09)15.78% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.09% (0.164 0.16)44.91% (-0.165 -0.16)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01% (-0.575 -0.58)31.99% (0.574 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (-0.661 -0.66)68.45% (0.66 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 53.9%
    Werder Bremen 23.34%
    Draw 22.75%
StuttgartDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.144 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.059 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.9% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 53.9%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 23.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: SC Paderborn 1-2 Stuttgart
Tuesday, January 31 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Stuttgart
Friday, January 27 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-2 Stuttgart
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 Mainz
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Union Berlin
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 7-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, January 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 6-1 Werder Bremen
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Schalke
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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