Having scored in all of their previous 13 matches and now facing a side with no clean sheet in 11 games, it is no surprise Bremen will come into this one as favourites.
However, under new management, Wolfsburg will hope to turn a corner, and a fresh start under Hasenhuttl may end their recent rut, even if it does not start with an instant win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.01) 
