SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Arsenal |
18.71% ( 0.07) | 21.7% ( 0.02) | 59.6% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.74% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.05% ( 0.02) | 43.95% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.67% ( 0.02) | 66.34% ( -0.02) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.75% ( 0.09) | 37.25% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.96% ( 0.09) | 74.04% ( -0.09) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.64% ( -0.02) | 14.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.77% ( -0.04) | 42.23% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 18.71% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.69% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.07% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 6.52% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.12% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 59.59% |
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