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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Arsenal |
26.95% ( 0.77) | 24.16% ( 0.32) | 48.89% ( -1.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.3% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.34% ( -0.83) | 45.65% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.02% ( -0.79) | 67.98% ( 0.79) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% ( 0.16) | 30.7% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.04% ( 0.18) | 66.95% ( -0.18) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.24% ( -0.75) | 18.76% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.85% ( -1.27) | 50.15% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.97% Total : 26.95% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.3% Total : 48.89% |
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