SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 75.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 9.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.99%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
75.22% ( -0.12) | 15.49% ( 0.08) | 9.3% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.8% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.08% ( -0.32) | 36.92% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.9% ( -0.35) | 59.1% ( 0.35) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.73% ( -0.1) | 8.27% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.11% ( -0.25) | 28.89% ( 0.25) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.21% ( -0.17) | 46.79% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.67% ( -0.13) | 82.33% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.5% Total : 75.22% | 1-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 15.49% | 0-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.78% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 9.3% |
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