SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Liverpool |
41.48% ( 0.06) | 24.99% ( -0.02) | 33.53% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.22% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.88% ( 0.08) | 46.12% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.59% ( 0.08) | 68.41% ( -0.07) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( 0.07) | 22.18% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.41% ( 0.1) | 55.59% ( -0.09) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.53% ( 0.01) | 26.47% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.35% ( 0.02) | 61.65% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.48% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.99% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.21% Total : 33.53% |
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