SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 53.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wuhan Three Towns in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
53.08% ( 0.05) | 24.42% ( -0.02) | 22.5% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.84% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.34% ( 0.03) | 50.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.43% ( 0.03) | 72.56% ( -0.03) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( 0.03) | 19.03% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.39% ( 0.05) | 50.61% ( -0.05) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.79% ( -0.02) | 37.21% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26% ( -0.01) | 74% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 1-0 @ 11.75% 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 53.08% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.69% Total : 22.5% |
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