Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 49.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Qingdao Jonoon win it was 1-0 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
0.12) 
-0.08) 
