SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
43.65% ( -0.02) | 25.3% ( -0.06) | 31.05% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.21% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.7% ( 0.3) | 48.3% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.55% ( 0.28) | 70.45% ( -0.28) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( 0.12) | 22.1% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.54% ( 0.18) | 55.46% ( -0.18) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( 0.21) | 29.12% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.95% ( 0.26) | 65.05% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.65% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.05% |
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