SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.49%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | Lugano |
34% ( -0.01) | 22.49% ( -0.01) | 43.52% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 66.6% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.08% ( 0.06) | 33.92% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.23% ( 0.07) | 55.77% ( -0.06) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% ( 0.02) | 20.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.07% ( 0.03) | 52.93% ( -0.03) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.73% ( 0.03) | 16.27% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.2% ( 0.06) | 45.8% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 3.98% Total : 34% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)3-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 43.52% |
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