Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Morocco | 1 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Zambia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
3 | Congo DR | 1 | 0 | 1 |
4 | Tanzania | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 64%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 14.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Zambia | Draw | Tanzania |
64% ( 0.12) | 21.41% ( -0.07) | 14.59% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 45.99% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.18% ( 0.2) | 49.81% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.18% ( 0.18) | 71.81% ( -0.18) |
Zambia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.1% ( 0.11) | 14.9% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.74% ( 0.2) | 43.26% ( -0.2) |
Tanzania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.04% ( 0.05) | 45.95% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.31% ( 0.04) | 81.68% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Zambia | Draw | Tanzania |
1-0 @ 13.03% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 63.98% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.4% | 0-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.02% 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.27% Total : 14.59% |
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