SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Morocco | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 11.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.09%) and 3-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.45%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morocco | Draw | Tanzania |
65.23% ( 1.27) | 23.01% ( -0.5) | 11.76% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 34.99% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.28% ( 0.21) | 60.73% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.21% ( 0.16) | 80.79% ( -0.15) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( 0.54) | 18.29% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.64% ( 0.91) | 49.36% ( -0.91) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.83% ( -1.2) | 57.18% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.86% ( -0.68) | 89.14% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morocco | Draw | Tanzania |
| 1-0 @ 17.76% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 15.09% ( 0.4)3-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.37)2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.39% Total : 65.23% | 0-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.09) 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.01% | 0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.5% Total : 11.76% |
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