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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
MN
Tanzania
0 - 2
Morocco

Mao (18'), Dismas (36'), Mwaikenda (74')
Dismas (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ziyech (28'), Mwaikenda (53' og.)
Mazraoui (13'), Hakimi (52'), Amrabat (65'), Ziyech (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Niger 0-1 Tanzania
Saturday, November 18 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Tanzania 0-2 Morocco

Tanzania got their World Cup qualification campaign off to a solid start with victory over Niger, but the visit of Morocco is arguably the sternest test that a nation could face in the CAF region. The Atlas Lions will be raring to get some points on the board after their contest with Eritrea was cancelled at short notice, and we believe that Walid Regragui's men will earn maximum points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 36.09%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 2-1 (6.9%). The likeliest Morocco win was 0-1 (13.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Morocco in this match.

Result
TanzaniaDrawMorocco
36.09% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 31.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 32.9% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Both teams to score 39.48% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.82% (0.017000000000003 0.02)68.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.95% (0.012 0.01)86.05% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Tanzania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.97% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)36.03% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.19% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)72.81% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.72% (0.036999999999999 0.04)38.28% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.96% (0.035 0.04)75.04% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Tanzania 36.09%
    Morocco 32.9%
    Draw 31.01%
TanzaniaDrawMorocco
1-0 @ 14.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2%
Total : 36.09%
0-0 @ 13.79%
1-1 @ 13.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 31.01%
0-1 @ 13.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.36% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 32.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Niger 0-1 Tanzania
Saturday, November 18 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Sudan 1-1 Tanzania
Sunday, October 15 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Algeria 0-0 Tanzania
Thursday, September 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tanzania 1-0 Niger
Sunday, June 18 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tanzania 0-1 Uganda
Tuesday, March 28 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Uganda 0-1 Tanzania
Friday, March 24 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-1 Morocco
Saturday, October 14 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Morocco 1-0 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Morocco
Saturday, June 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Cape Verde
Monday, June 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Peru
Tuesday, March 28 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
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