SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lesotho would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zimbabwe | Draw | Lesotho |
22.1% ( -0.8) | 25.72% ( -0.8) | 52.18% ( 1.61) |
| Both teams to score 46.63% ( 1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.03% ( 2.14) | 55.97% ( -2.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.94% ( 1.71) | 77.06% ( -1.71) |
| Zimbabwe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.4% ( 0.43) | 40.6% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.81% ( 0.38) | 77.19% ( -0.38) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.5% ( 1.6) | 21.5% ( -1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.45% ( 2.4) | 54.55% ( -2.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zimbabwe | Draw | Lesotho |
| 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.57) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.27% Total : 22.1% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.75)2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 13.41% ( -0.47) 0-2 @ 10.31% ( 0.14)1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.33)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.17)0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.21)Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.17% |
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