SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Lesotho |
41.39% ( -0.06) | 27.74% ( -0) | 30.87% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.61% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.96% ( 0.04) | 58.04% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.28% ( 0.03) | 78.72% ( -0.03) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% ( -0.02) | 27.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.87% ( -0.02) | 63.13% ( 0.03) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( 0.07) | 34.24% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.06% ( 0.08) | 70.94% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mozambique | Draw | Lesotho |
| 1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.38% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.87% |
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