Having picked up an opening-day victory, Austin are on the cusp of progressing to the knockout stages and will need at least a draw to confirm their place. However, Monterrey have put together a solid run of results to start the new campaign and we see them coming away with a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 60.23%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
