SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
37.01% ( -0.02) | 24.7% ( 0) | 38.28% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% | 44.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( -0) | 66.65% ( 0.01) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% ( -0.01) | 23.63% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.29% ( -0.02) | 57.71% ( 0.02) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( 0.01) | 22.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.25% ( 0.02) | 56.75% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0)3-1 @ 4% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.01% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.28% |
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