SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Austin FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | New York City FC |
47.54% ( 7.24) | 23.33% ( -1.97) | 29.12% ( -5.27) |
| Both teams to score 60.86% ( 4.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.6% ( 6.94) | 40.4% ( -6.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.22% ( 6.79) | 62.77% ( -6.79) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.74% ( 6.04) | 17.25% ( -6.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.43% ( 9.67) | 47.57% ( -9.67) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( 0.09) | 26.45% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.37% ( 0.11) | 61.63% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.67) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.99)2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.49)3-1 @ 5.49% ( 1.26)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.94)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.85)4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.87)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.65)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.58)Other @ 4.02% Total : 47.54% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -1.28) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.46)0-0 @ 4.56% ( -1.62)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.38)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.83) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -2.13)0-2 @ 4.04% ( -1.41)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.36)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.62)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.12% |
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