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Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
AF

Dallas
3 - 1
Austin

Arriola (10'), Musa (56' pen.), Farfan (74')
Farrington (55'), Musa (56'), Twumasi (63'), Twumasi (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zardes (16')
Cascante (55'), Pereira (90+8')
Driussi (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 0-1 Seattle
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 2-1 Austin FC

Dallas have put together a fine run of results at home in recent weeks and will be backing themselves to pick up where they left off against LA Galaxy. Austin have struggled for results on their travels, and given their record at the Toyota Stadium, we are tipping the hosts to come out on top once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawAustin FC
53.34% (0.22300000000001 0.22) 23.56% (-0.067 -0.07) 23.1% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 54.3% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.57% (0.128 0.13)46.43% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (0.12 0.12)68.71% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65% (0.13 0.13)17.35% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.27% (0.225 0.23)47.73% (-0.222 -0.22)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)34.3% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)71% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 53.34%
    Austin FC 23.1%
    Draw 23.55%
DallasDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.13% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.33% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 53.34%
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 23.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dallas 2-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 3-2 Dallas
Monday, July 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 3-2 Portland
Friday, July 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 3-2 Dallas
Sunday, June 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 5-3 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 0-1 Seattle
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-1 NY City
Sunday, July 7 at 2.55am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-0 Austin
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 Austin
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 1-1 Los Angeles
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-0 Austin
Sunday, June 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer


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