SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Austin FC |
53.34% ( 0.22) | 23.56% ( -0.07) | 23.1% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.57% ( 0.13) | 46.43% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( 0.12) | 68.71% ( -0.12) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( 0.13) | 17.35% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.27% ( 0.23) | 47.73% ( -0.22) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.7% ( -0.07) | 34.3% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29% ( -0.07) | 71% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.77% Total : 53.34% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 23.1% |
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