SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 62.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Necaxa |
62.95% ( -0.29) | 19.6% ( 0.04) | 17.45% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 58.62% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.64% ( 0.27) | 36.36% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.5% ( 0.29) | 58.5% ( -0.3) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.96% ( 0) | 11.04% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.63% ( 0.01) | 35.37% ( -0.01) |
| Necaxa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% ( 0.45) | 34.11% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.2% ( 0.48) | 70.8% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Necaxa |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.12)1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.75% 5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.7% Total : 62.95% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.6% | 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.8% Total : 17.45% |
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