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Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
CF

Seattle
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Rusnak (57' pen., 90+3' pen.)
Ragen (78'), Rusnak (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Haile-Selassie (30')
Pineda (42'), Dean (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 3-2 Dallas
Sunday, June 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 4-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 2-1 Chicago Fire

Heading into this fixture, both history and momentum favors the hosts, which is why we think they will extend their dominance on home soil on Sunday. The visitors have been on the road for three consecutive match days, and this could also take its toll, especially on a team appearing to lack resilience. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 63.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Seattle Sounders in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Seattle Sounders.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawChicago Fire
63.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 20.43% (0.0040000000000013 0) 16.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 53.11% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)42.37% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.22% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)64.78% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)12.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.97% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)39.03% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.88% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)39.11% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.17% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)75.83% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 63.24%
    Chicago Fire 16.31%
    Draw 20.43%
Seattle SoundersDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 10.57%
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 63.24%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.43%
0-1 @ 4.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 16.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Seattle 3-2 Dallas
Sunday, June 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-2 Seattle
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Seattle
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Salt Lake
Thursday, May 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 1-2 Seattle
Sunday, May 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 4-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-4 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-3 Columbus Crew
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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