SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pachuca | Draw | Club America |
29.57% ( 0.29) | 24.38% ( 0.03) | 46.05% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 57.5% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.06% ( 0.01) | 44.94% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.7% ( 0.02) | 67.3% ( -0.02) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% ( 0.21) | 28.44% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.8% ( 0.26) | 64.2% ( -0.27) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( -0.13) | 19.64% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.4% ( -0.22) | 51.6% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pachuca | Draw | Club America |
| 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.57% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.38% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 46.05% |
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