Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 37%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
-2.55) 
0.12) 
