Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.06) 
