Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 19.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
0.19) 
-0.3) 
