Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
