Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
