Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 36.24%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.
