Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
