Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 14.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.7%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
