Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Aug 21, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alfonso Lastras
Murillo (45+3')
Gonzalez (61'), (90+6'), (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atletico San Luis and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico San Luis in this match.
| Result |
| Atletico San Luis | Draw | Toluca |
42.94% ( 0.42) | 27.05% ( -0.05) | 30.01% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 49.25% ( -0.04) |
| 44.22% ( 0.03) | 55.78% ( -0.03) |
| 23.09% ( 0.02) | 76.91% ( -0.03) |
| 74.27% ( 0.23) | 25.72% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.35% ( 0.31) | 60.65% ( -0.31) |
| 66.31% ( -0.26) | 33.68% ( 0.26) |
