Liga MX | Gameweek 9
Aug 18, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Monterrey.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | Monterrey |
30.1% ( -0) | 25.15% ( -0) | 44.75% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.24% ( 0.01) |
| 51.94% ( 0.01) | 48.06% ( -0.01) |
| 29.78% ( 0.01) | 70.22% ( -0) |
| 70.35% ( 0) | 29.65% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.31% ( 0) | 65.69% ( -0) |
| 78.51% ( 0) | 21.49% ( -0) |
