Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
