Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Queretaro	Draw	Cruz Azul
30.97% ( -0.26)	26.08% ( -0.06)	42.96% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 52.66% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.4% (

0.15)

51.6% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.61% (

0.13)

73.39% (

-0.13)

Queretaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.16% (

-0.11)

30.85% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.88% (

-0.13)

67.13% (

0.13)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.15% (

0.23)

23.85% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.96% (

0.32)

58.04% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Queretaro 30.97%

Cruz Azul 42.95%

Draw 26.07%

Queretaro	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.97%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 42.95%