Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 16, 2023 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Azteca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Club America.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
Result |
Cruz Azul | Draw | Club America |
29.78% ( 0.64) | 25.2% ( 0.13) | 45.02% ( -0.77) |
Both teams to score 54.87% ( -0.03) |
51.55% ( -0.21) | 48.45% ( 0.21) |
29.42% ( -0.2) | 70.58% ( 0.19) |
69.93% ( 0.34) | 30.07% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.79% ( 0.41) | 66.21% ( -0.42) |
78.47% ( -0.43) | 21.53% ( 0.43) |